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Medical intelligence sleuths tracked, warned of new virus


Medical intelligence sleuths tracked, warned of new virus

In late February, when President Donald Trump was urging Americans not to panic over the novel coronavirus, alarm bells were sounding at a little-known intelligence unit situated on a U.S. Army base near WashingtonBy DEB RIECHMANN Associated PressApril 16, 2020, 6:52 PM6 min readWASHINGTON — In late February when President Donald Trump was urging Americans…

Medical intelligence sleuths tracked, warned of new virus

In late February, when President Donald Trump was urging Americans not to panic over the novel coronavirus, alarm bells were sounding at an obscure intelligence system situated on a U.S. Army base near Washington


DEB RIECHMANN Associated Press

April 16, 2020, 6: 52 PM

6 minutes read

In late February when President Donald Trump was urging Americans not to stress over the novel coronavirus, alarms were sounding at a little-known intelligence unit situated on a U.S. Army base an hour’s drive north of Washington.

Intelligence, science and doctor at the National Center for Medical Intelligence were quietly doing what they have done for decades– monitoring and tracking worldwide health threats that could threaten U.S. soldiers abroad and Americans at home.

On Feb. 25, the medical intelligence unit raised its caution that the coronavirus would become a pandemic within 30 days from WATCHCON 2– a possible crisis– to WATCHCON 1– an impending one, according to a U.S. official. That was 15 days prior to the W orld Health Company stated the rapidly spreading out coronavirus break out a global pandemic.

At the time of the caution, few coronavirus infections had actually been reported in the United States. That very same day, Trump, who was in New Delhi, India, tweeted: “The Coronavirus is quite under control in the USA.” Soon, nevertheless, the coronavirus spread across the world, sickening more than 2 million people with the disease COVID-19 and eliminating more than 26,000 individuals in the United States.

The center’s work generally is shared with defense and health authorities, including the secretary of health and human services. Its Feb. 25 warning, initially reported last month by Newsweek, was included in an intelligence briefing supplied to the Joint Chiefs of Staff, but it’s unidentified whether Trump or other White House authorities saw it. Various intelligence firms had been consisting of details about the coronavirus in briefing materials since early January, according to the authorities, who spoke only on condition of privacy because he was not licensed to confirm information about the alert.

A minimum of 100 epidemiologists, virologists, chemical engineers, toxicologists, biologists and military medical specialist– all schooled in intelligence trade craft– work at the medical intelligence unit, located at Fort Detrick in Frederick, Maryland. Requests to interview existing workers were rejected, however former workers explained how they go through huge amounts of info, looking for hints about global health occasions.

” You feel like you’re searching for needles in a stack of needles,” said Denis Kaufman, who operated in the medical intelligence unit from 1990 to 2005 and once again later before retiring.

Most of the information they study is public, called “open source” product. A regional newspaper in Africa may release a story about an increasing variety of individuals getting ill, and that raises a flag since there’s no mention of any such health problem on the other side of the nation. A physician in the Middle East might post issues about a virus on social networks. But unlike organizations such as the WHO, the medical intelligence group, part of the Defense Intelligence Company, likewise has actually access to categorized intelligence collected by the 17 U.S. spy agencies.

The medical unit can go into signals intelligence and intercepts of interactions gathered by the National Security Firm. It can check out info that CIA officers select up in the field overseas. The National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency can share satellite images and surface maps to help evaluate how a disease, like Ebola or avian flu, may spread through a population.

” Every day, everyone would enter into work and check out and research our area for anything that’s different– anything that doesn’t make good sense, whether it’s about disease, healthcare, earthquakes, nationwide catastrophe– anything that would affect the health of a nation,” said Martha “Rainie” Dasche, a professional on Africa who retired from the DIA in2018 “We begin questioning. We look at things with a jaundiced eye.”

They do not gather intelligence. They evaluate it and produce medical intelligence assessments, forecasts and databases on infectious illness and health risks from natural disasters, hazardous materials, bioterrorism along with specific countries’ capability to manage them. Their reports are composed for military leaders, defense health officials and scientists as well as policymakers at the Defense Department, White House and federal companies, particularly the Department of Health and Person Services.

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The center was originally in the U.S. Army Cosmetic surgeon General’s workplace throughout World War II, however military leaders throughout history have learned the hard way about the threat that illness presents to troops.

” In the Spanish-American War, there were significant epidemics of typhoid fever and dysentery,” according to a report composed in 1951 at Brooke Army Medical Center at Fort Sam Houston in Texas. “World War I saw widespread outbreaks of influenza and malaria. In The Second World War, there was a high occurrence of malaria and infectious hepatitis. … In all wars prior to The second world war, losses from disease surpassed losses from fight injury.”

Today, the group’s success can be found in providing early cautions that avoid disease. That can be challenging if a nation does not report or share info out of worry that the news will affect its economy or tourist. Some undeveloped countries with poor health systems might not put together great data. Info from nations trying to soft-pedal the severity of an epidemic can’t be relied on.

Kaufman stated huge quantities of information come out of China, where the very first reports of the new coronavirus appeared in the city of Wuhan. However because the country is run by an authoritarian federal government, the medical intelligence scientists glean information from the regional level, not Beijing.

” Researchers, in many cases, have more success in discovering details from the bottom up– not from the main communist government, but from localities,” he said. “That’s where some guy in Wuhan may be saying ‘I can’t report this due to the fact that I don’t wish to look bad to my manager’ or there’s a guy who says he can’t talk about bird flu due to the fact that his cousin runs the bird market and does not want to injure his organisation.”

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