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27% unlikely to be vaccinated; Republicans, conservatives especially: POLL


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27% unlikely to be vaccinated; Republicans, conservatives especially: POLL

Unpersuaded by more than 100,000 pandemic deaths in the United States, 45% of strong conservatives, four in 10 Republicans and nearly as many evangelical Christians say they’d be unlikely to get vaccinated against the coronavirus, even for free. Overall, 27% of adults in an ABC News/Washington Post poll say they definitely (15%) or probably (12%)…

27% unlikely to be vaccinated; Republicans, conservatives especially: POLL

Unpersuaded by more than 100,000 pandemic deaths in the United States, 45%of strong conservatives, 4 in 10 Republicans and nearly as numerous evangelical Christians state they ‘d be not likely to get immunized versus the coronavirus, even for totally free.

In general, 27%of grownups in an ABC News/Washington Post poll say they definitely (15%) or probably (12%) would not get the vaccine. Amongst them, half say they do not trust vaccines in basic, while almost a quarter do not believe it’s needed in this case.

Abt Associates

See PDF for full results, charts and tables.

A plurality definitely would get vaccinated (43%) and 28%state they probably would. The net, 71%, is much greater than the adult vaccination rate for the standard seasonal influenza– 45%in the 2018-19 influenza season, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Avoidance (with a vast array by state, from 34 to 56%.) It’s much lower than the 2017 child vaccination rates for polio and measles/mumps/rubella, 93 and 92%, respectively.

A mix of groups reveal less interest in getting vaccinated– 46%of Republican females, 45%(as noted) really conservative Americans, 40%of Republicans and 37%of evangelical Christians.

Throughout the spectrum, 90%of Democratic males state they definitely or probably would get the vaccine, as would 81%of Democrats in general, and as many liberals in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Study Associates

Interest is greater, although not extremely high, amongst seniors– 77%– compared with all other grownups, 69%.

The overall result is comparable to other current studies (by Fox News, ABC/Ipsos, Pew Research and CNN) in which 23 to 33%of adults have actually stated they would not get immunized or would not be likely to. By contrast, in a November 2009 ABC/Post survey, lots of more stated they likely would not get vaccinated versus the swine flu, 66%.

Experience/Expectations

Experience and expectations contribute in these intents. For example, Americans residing in hard-hit areas are especially likely to say they ‘d get the vaccine. Eighty-one percent of individuals in U.S. counties with the most COVID-19 cases say so, compared with 61%of those in counties with the least cases.

It’s almost as high, 78%, amongst Northeasterners and metropolitan homeowners, vs. 65%in the South and 63%in rural locations. And among those who report that their lives have actually been interfered with by the pandemic, three-quarters state they ‘d get vaccinated. That drops to 55%of those who report little or no interruption.

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Desire likewise peaks among those most concerned about how the infection may impact them. Among those who are extremely concerned that they or a member of the family will catch the virus, 85%say they absolutely or most likely would get immunized, as do 84%of those worried about a 2nd wave of infections in the fall. That drops among others; amongst those who are “not anxious” about a 2nd wave, for example, just 35%state they ‘d get vaccinated.

Interest also connects to top priorities. Amongst those who state it’s more crucial to attempt to stop the spread of the virus, 81%state they’re likely to get immunized, compared with 56%of those who say it’s more crucial to attempt to reboot the economy.

In a statistical analysis called regression, holding group and attitudinal elements continuous, being black and being a woman are negative predictors of intention to get vaccinated. Favorable predictors consist of being a Democrat, fret about catching the illness or about a 2nd wave, and living in a city area.

Reasons

cellular telephone

As discussed, half of those who absolutely or probably wouldn’t get vaccinated say they don’t trust vaccines in basic; 23%don’t believe it’s necessary in this case. 5 percent say both reasons are equally important and 2 in 10 point out other reasons.

Females who are disinclined to be immunized are most likely to say it’s because they do not rely on vaccines in basic– 58%say so, compared to 42%of men who state they’re not likely to get immunized. These men, instead, are two times as likely as ladies in this group to say they believe it’s unnecessary in this particular case.

While sample sizes restrict this analysis, another difference emerges: Individuals residing in the South who are unlikely to get immunized are a little more apt than those in other areas to say they do not trust vaccines overall, 57 vs. 45%.

Methodology

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cell phone May 25-28, 2020, in English and Spanish, amongst a random nationwide sample of 1,001 grownups. Results have a margin of tasting error of 3.5 points, consisting of the design effect. Partisan departments are 31-24-37%, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

The study was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Study Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling and information collection by Abt Associates of Rockville, Md. See details on the study’s methodology here

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